According to the domestic development and foreign import and export situation of China's textile industry in 2016, there may be three major trends in the development of China's textile industry in the future. The domestic textile industry enterprises need to recognize the domestic and international situation of China at present and in the next few years. In my opinion, the situation may not be optimistic. Let's see the analysis. Cotton (13900, 5.00, 0.04%) resource supply has a trend of focusing on "domestic cotton" rather than "foreign cotton". From the current situation of cotton resource supply in 2016, the state vigorously promotes the entry of reserve cotton and local cotton into the market, while the import volume of foreign cotton such as American cotton, Indian cotton and Australian cotton is limited. On the one hand, due to the limited quality of these foreign cotton varieties that can meet the needs of domestic textile enterprises, Chinese enterprises mainly import C / A, emot, SJV and other varieties of high-quality and high-grade cotton. In addition, several major alliances led by the United States restrict China's trade, and the United States provides the priority of US cotton import to the contracting countries, including Vietnam, Pakistan, Turkey, Indonesia, Mexico and other countries（ Indian cotton is one of China's main import resources. However, due to Pakistan's crazy demand for Indian cotton, Indian cotton prices soared, which is not cost-effective for Chinese textile enterprises.

From the cotton market in 2016, cotton resources are still relatively tight. Most of the cotton produced by countries are used for self marketing, and the export will be weaker. Fortunately, from the perspective of spinning cotton, high-quality Xinjiang cotton + local cotton + national reserve cotton can fully meet the demand of yarn mills. In addition, the growing area of long staple cotton is larger, and the dependence of domestic textile mills on Australian cotton and American cotton is further reduced. If foreign trade barriers to China still exist or expand, China is likely to produce and sell cotton by itself. At present, some industry experts have realized the problem of cotton yield, and the research and production of improved cotton varieties has been put on the agenda. For the demand of domestic textile enterprises, the government will give strong support.

In 2016 / 2017, China's textile and garment enterprises encountered "encirclement, interception" and suppression from Europe, America, Southeast Asia, Central Asia and other countries. According to customs statistics, in July, China's cotton products exports grew by only 2.16% year-on-year and 0.17% month on month. Coupled with exchange rate fluctuations, the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase, economic deflation and other uncertain factors, high count yarn, low-cost cotton products and low-cost cotton products increased by 2.16% year-on-year and 0.17% month on month The export of high count and high density grey cloth and clothing is not optimistic. According to the international political situation, China's relations with the United States and other developed countries are not stable enough, and the United States tries to attract other countries to set various obstacles to China's economic development. In the first half of this year, the United States, Japan, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam formally signed the TPP agreement in Auckland, New Zealand. These 12 countries together account for 40% of the global economy, surpassing the European Union, seriously affecting the development of foreign trade in China's textile industry. According to customs statistics, from September 2015 to July 2016, China imported 890000 tons of foreign cotton, a year-on-year decrease of 700000 tons or 44%; From January 2016 to July 2016, the cumulative import of foreign cotton was 525000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 527000 tons, a decrease of 51%. Many foreign businessmen and large and medium-sized import enterprises have been surprised by the "diving" of China's import volume. Many small trading companies and middlemen such as Qingdao, Zhangjiagang and Guangzhou have switched to import yarn, chemical fiber or closed shop transfer, which poses a severe test for the enterprises that hope or are engaged in the textile industry. The instability of enterprises increases the risk of cooperation, It is not conducive to the healthy development of the textile industry. The international relations between China and other countries in the world seriously affect the nerves of the domestic textile industry. If China can gain a greater say in international trade, it will be of great benefit to the stability and development of the domestic textile industry. Whether the G20 summit in Hangzhou can make progress on trade issues is of great concern.

To sum up, the future development of China's textile industry is facing multiple difficulties. The situation is not optimistic, but it is not necessary to be too pessimistic. I believe that the ability of the state and the government will help the development and growth of the textile industry, so that the enterprises in the textile industry can operate well. The enterprises should always pay attention to the national policies and market conditions, and make timely adjustments.